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Are Air-to-Water Heat Pumps Finally Ready for Extreme Cold Climates?

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I've been working with hydronic heating systems for a while and have noticed a growing interest in air-to-water heat pumps, especially in regions that experience harsh winters.

Traditionally, many homeowners and contractors have been skeptical about heat pumps because performance tends to drop significantly as outdoor temperatures fall. However, newer cold-climate systems claim to operate efficiently even in temperatures as low as -31°F (-35°C).

What interests me most is the ability of these systems to integrate with:

  • Radiant floor heating
  • Fan coil systems
  • Domestic hot water production
  • Existing hydronic heating setups

Some manufacturers are also offering monoblock designs, which simplify installation and reduce refrigerant work on-site.

For those who have installed or serviced cold-climate air-to-water heat pumps:

  1. How have they performed during extended cold snaps?
  2. Are homeowners seeing meaningful energy savings compared to propane, oil, or electric resistance heating?
  3. What challenges have you encountered with retrofits?
  4. Do you still recommend backup heat sources in very cold regions?

I'd be interested to hear real-world experiences from contractors, designers, and homeowners.

Comments

  • pecmsg
    pecmsg Member Posts: 7,249

    Any facts to back this up?

    clammy
  • hot_rod
    hot_rod Member Posts: 27,781

    You need to do the homework when considering on a A2whp

    The required operating temperature at design condition is one critical number.

    Staying below 120 is a good goal. So large surface area emitters like radiant panels work best.

    Data is available from manufacturers and independent testing on efficiency drop as outdoor temperatures drop. No guessing required. Same with performance at higher operating temperatures

    This info, in graph form was in my installation manual. Realistic numbers not sales hype.

    Operating cost comparison is directly related to the various fuel cost at the insty locat. That data is also available going back 30 years or more. The question is fuel costs going forward?

    I would also pull the data to see how many days a location is at or below design when considering a backup system.

    Some do, some don’t consider the installed cost of a HP. ROI is another hard to pin down number. System longevity is a question Refrigerators have a 15-20 year lifespan, as far as the compressor snd components

    Lots if electronics under the hood A piwer conditioner is a goid option.

    Qualified installer and service people needs to be considered. It takes multiple skills to troubleshoot a HP

    I’m going on 3 years with a Viessmann system running 120 SWT to radiant slabs. Just started running chilled water to the slab for cooling. So far I am pleased with the operation and operation cost

    Electric rates vary between 11– 13 cents, and I have enough PV to run the system on sunny days

    So for me, all the boxes checked.

    Replacing or a new installation on a system needing 140 or more, especially in cold climates. This may end up with some heart break.

    Bob "hot rod" Rohr
    trainer for Caleffi NA
    Living the hydronic dream
    mattmia2
  • DCContrarian
    DCContrarian Member Posts: 1,487

    "Traditionally, many homeowners and contractors have been skeptical about heat pumps because performance tends to drop significantly as outdoor temperatures fall. However, newer cold-climate systems claim to operate efficiently even in temperatures as low as -31°F (-35°C)."

    It's not just that efficiency drops, it's that output drops. Unlike combustion appliances where a BTU is a BTU, heat pumps produce far less than their nameplate capacity in cold weather.

    A big advantage of air-to-water is that buffer tanks make oversizing less of an issue. So you can size for actual loads on heating design days without being oversized in moderate weather.

  • hot_rod
    hot_rod Member Posts: 27,781

    An example for the Viessmann

    Screenshot 2026-06-10 at 9.30.01 AM.png
    Bob "hot rod" Rohr
    trainer for Caleffi NA
    Living the hydronic dream
  • pecmsg
    pecmsg Member Posts: 7,249

    One major issue with all these Low Temp Heat Pumps Weather Air to Air, Air to Water, or Water to Water is finding someone that knows how to work on them and getting ahold of tech support after hours, holidays and weekends! A lot of computers are in there. I'd still want a backup plan.

  • hot_rod
    hot_rod Member Posts: 27,781

    It really depends on the brand.

    Viessmann tech support answers the phone. If they are busy they call or txt back within an hour. I've spoken to several different tech support, mostly in Waterloo, Canada a 1/2 dozen times as I programed the unit.

    In some cases the local rep for the area is helpful.

    Maybe not so for some of the imports from China purchased online.

    Bob "hot rod" Rohr
    trainer for Caleffi NA
    Living the hydronic dream
  • pecmsg
    pecmsg Member Posts: 7,249

    I agree Viessmann may be an exception to that rule.

    Mitsubishi, Daykin, Fujitsu all normal business hours, and were not even going to discuss parts availability.

  • mattmia2
    mattmia2 Member Posts: 17,343

    Longevity is a really important factor in the math here too. There is no reason they shouldn't last 40 years with proper engineering but I doubt that most actually will, maybe the Viessman if they are actually building them in Germany or at least Africa.

  • pecmsg
    pecmsg Member Posts: 7,249

    I can't speak for Viessman, but "Most" heat pumps are 7 1/2 -10 years before parts are obsolete.

  • EdTheHeaterMan
    EdTheHeaterMan Member Posts: 12,481

    Technically, anything above −459.67°F (absolute zero) is said to contain some measure of heat. Therefore, in theory, an air-to-water heat pump should be able to extract at least some measurable heat from the outdoor air at temperatures above −128.6°F, the coldest temperature ever recorded on Earth.

    If you have a large enough heat exchanger, you can recover some of that heat, compress it, and transfer the resulting higher-temperature heat into cold water, making the water hotter. You can then use that heated water for something useful.

    So, perhaps you could take a shower at Vostok Station in Antarctica! That is where they recorded the -128.6° temperature

    Of course, the practical problem is that as the outdoor temperature approaches absolute zero, the amount of available heat becomes vanishingly small, and the efficiency and capacity of a heat pump decline dramatically. Long before reaching −128.6°F, the size of the heat exchanger and the amount of energy required to operate the compressor would make such a system impractical. But from a purely thermodynamic standpoint, there is still heat to be extracted from anything above absolute zero.

    Edward Young Retired

    After you make that expensive repair and you still have the same problem, What will you check next?

  • mattmia2
    mattmia2 Member Posts: 17,343

    an equal practical problem is that the refrigerant becomes a liquid and then a solid even at 0 psia at some point.

  • pecmsg
    pecmsg Member Posts: 7,249

    I’ve worked of -120*F Freezers. Cascade system. A reverse cascade can be done. Is it cost effective I don’t think so, at least not yet.

  • mattmia2
    mattmia2 Member Posts: 17,343

    what sort of efficiency will you get out of it, will you get a cop better than 1?

  • hot_rod
    hot_rod Member Posts: 27,781

    I've not had trouble getting Weil, Burnham, Lochinvar, IBC, NTI, ECR on the phone. They all offer A2WHP now.

    The key is to get the direct tech support number, or a number place to txt. A contracted "phone answerer" in India may not be of much help.

    Odd that the boiler companies are embracing, supporting and training A2WHP. They certainly have more hydronic experience that Mitsubishi, Dakin and Fujutisu. Several offer the intergration control if you want to pair a boiler.

    Although many of the products and brands are merely rebadged equipment. I don't know of any boiler manufacturer that manufacturers HP?

    Bob "hot rod" Rohr
    trainer for Caleffi NA
    Living the hydronic dream